基于步进应力加速老化和改进Arrhenius模型的橡胶贮存寿命预测

为准确、快速地预测橡胶的贮存寿命,在步进高温应力加速老化试验的基础上,对不同加速温度下的加速系数进行计算,获得加速因子和绝对温度倒数的曲线,发现橡胶老化过程表现出非Arrhenius特性。针对非Arrhenius特性,引入幂指数因子,采用一种改进的Arrhenius模型对加速系数进行拟合。由对数反应速率与绝对温度倒数曲线的斜率,计算了改进Arrhenius模型在不同温度下的等效线性活化能,结果表明低温下活化能减小。建立低温下的老化寿命模型,对胶料在10℃,20℃和30℃下的老化寿命进行评估。评估结果表明,该模型可为相关高分子材料腐蚀过程中呈现的非Arrhenius特性的分析及寿命预测提供参考。     

国家发展与空军战略思维创新——空军战略思维的系统工程

经过近三十年的发展，我国的综合国力大幅提高，国际地位明显提升，国家安全环境得到了根本改善。国家发展对空军战略思维提出新的要求，空军战略应适应国家安全形势的变化适时调整。应把“区域制衡，空天防卫”的内外兼顾的地区型空军战略，做为空军战略思维创新的基本取向，也是保卫国家发展所要求的。     

基于Multi-Agent仿真模型的非对称作战有效性分析*

针对多要素在非对称作战中运用的复杂影响,建立了基于Multi-Agent的仿真模型,对非时称作战的有效性进行了数学解释;给出了Multi-Agent的系统结构,在EINSTein仿真平台中设置了指挥决策Agent、态势感知Agent、通信协作Agent和作战行动Agent,以此模拟作战要素在非时称作战中运用的主要功能,进而演示非对称作战的过程,获得非对称作战的仿真实验数据;仿真模型描述了多要素影响下作战体系的突变现象;通过作战目的的实现和高倍增的作战效果,实证了仿真模型的有效性和可行性.     

Reliability inference for field conditions from accelerated degradation testing

Accelerated degradation testing (ADT) is usually conducted under deterministic stresses such as constant‐stress, step‐stress, and cyclic‐stress. Based on ADT data, an ADT model is developed to predict reliability under normal (field) operating conditions. In engineering applications, the “standard” approach for reliability prediction assumes that the normal operating conditions are deterministic or simply uses the mean values of the stresses while ignoring their variability. Such an approach may lead to significant prediction errors. In this paper, we extend an ADT model obtained from constant‐stress ADT experiments to predict field reliability by considering the stress variations. A case study is provided to demonstrate the proposed statistical inference procedure. The accuracy of the procedure is verified by simulation using various distributions of field stresses. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006.     

Equivalent accelerated life testing plans for log‐location‐scale distributions

Accelerated life testing (ALT) is widely used to determine the failure time distribution of a product and the associated life‐stress relationship in order to predict the product's reliability under normal operating conditions. Many types of stress loadings such as constant‐stress, step‐stress and cyclic‐stress can be utilized when conducting ALT. Extensive research has been conducted on the analysis of ALT data obtained under a specified stress loading. However, the equivalency of ALT experiments involving different stress loadings has not been investigated. In this article, a log‐location‐scale distribution under Type I censoring is considered in planning ALT. An idea is provided for the equivalency of various ALT plans involving different stress loadings. Based on this idea, general equivalent ALT plans and some special types of equivalent ALT plans are explored. For demonstration, a constant‐stress ALT and a ramp‐stress ALT for miniature lamps are presented and their equivalency is investigated. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

基于语音分段的自适应时长调整算法

文中提出了一种自适应的语音时长调整算法,首先对语音分段,提取出稳定的语音段使之与音素或者音节基本对应,然后根据总调整因子β和各段语音长度分配每一个语音段的局部调整因子iβ,最后采用波形相似叠加(W SOLA)算法完成对语音的时长调整。仿真结果表明:文中算法实用有效,可以合成可懂度和自然度更高的语音。     

磁浮列车感应无线通信技术

感应无线通信是一种新型的通信方式,它既有别于有线通信,又不同于无线通信,在轨道交通和军事领域有着广泛的应用前景。重点探讨了感应无线通信的基本原理和电磁感应通信的特点,分析了电磁感应通信中的调制和解调的方法,同时给出了系统的具体实现电路。在上述分析的基础上,结合我国磁浮列车的发展情况,提出了适合现阶段的磁浮列车通信的方案,并介绍了相关试验结果。     

基于半马氏决策过程的电容器维修策略优化

针对电容器随机劣化失效的特点,采用半马氏决策过程解决其预防性维修方案设计和维修策略优化问题.在电容器随机劣化的Gaussian-Poisson模型基础上,以检测周期为优化变量,同时考虑预防性维修次数阈值的影响,建立电容器长期运行费用率优化模型.分析表明,对该型号电容器来说,预防性维修相比于事后修理更加有利于节省部件长期运行的费用率.     

多UCAV协同任务规划的层次分解方法

针对多UCAV协同作战的控制决策问题,从任务、空域和时域三个角度阐述了多UCAV协同任务规划问题的层次特性,提出了多UCAV协同任务规划的分层迭代逻辑流程.基于该分层迭代逻辑流程,完成了多UCAV协同任务规划原型系统的开发工作,并进行了初步的综合仿真验证.仿真结果表明,所提出的分层迭代逻辑流程,可以降低任务规划问题的复杂度,是实现多UCAV协同任务规划的一种有效方法.     

虚拟战场电磁环境仿真系统研究

针对某地空反辐射导弹武器仿真系统中虚拟战场电磁环境仿真分系统的实际需求,对仿真系统的硬件环境、软件环境、系统结构进行了分析研究,基于高层体系结构(HLA)具体设计和实现了相应的仿真系统。仿真实验表明,该仿真系统产生的作战想定和电磁环境能够满足某地空反辐射导弹武器仿真系统的要求,具有实用价值。